The Earth has made one round around the Sun and it is time
for a calendar year change. It provides a marker and serves as a reminder to
take stock, reflect and plan. As the saying goes, to know where you are going,
you need to first know where you came from.
Time heals all wounds, some may disagree but human memory is
not perfect. If we were to base solely on personal ability to recall the events
of 2013, what were perhaps three most significant ones? At the national level,
the news that took over the country from my perspective was in chronological
order, the sensationalized case where Ng Boon Gay and Cecilia Sue became
infamous, followed by dengue and the haze where PSI and N95 were all everyone
could talk about, and lastly the Little India riot is still recent enough to be
mentioned occasionally.
Now, do you recall the stock picks by analyst in January
2013? What were their predictions of the STI level? Had the crystal ball gazers
been accurate to see that STI was going to be unchanged? Maybe its time to
review your broker or financial adviser’s past advice or your personal
performance - Did it beat the benchmark, is it worth the fees paid, was the
performance attributed to skill or luck.
Those that were right will make sure to remind you about it
and those that were wrong will bring focus to what lies ahead instead.
In the mood of the festive season of giving, it seems it is
also the season for FREE financial advice. Lists of stock picks for 2014 are
being thrown around freely, predictions on technical analysis – support and
resistance levels are dished out freely, advice on value investing to be the
next Warren Buffett are also recommended freely.
I recall the words of the Father of Value Investing, Benjamin
Grahman - learn to ignore the noise. Everyone’s situation is different and it
calls for different approaches. He advises that there are only 2 types of
investors – the aggressive and passive.
Taking a leaf from Malcolm Gladwell’s book, “Outliers: The
Story Of Success”, the magic number is 10,000 hours for the key of success. To
be a successful aggressive investor, one should put in at least 10,000 hours of
practice before embarking on this role.
In the meantime - 2014, I shall be a passive investor with
real money while carrying on to clock the 10,000 hours of simulated money to
grow in my investment journey.
For a Healthy & Wealthy 2014, CHEERS!
2 comments:
In 2014, like you I will become a passive investor too.
Hey Vicky. Hi-5! Cheers and may the odds be ever in our favor.
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